Of AI/ Tech Predictions

“While (Chancellor) Merkel spoke English well and much better than our few words of German, some of the conversation was sufficiently technical that it benefited from an interpreter.

At one point Satya talked about AI and where it was going and he pointed to its ability to translate languages. When he said that AI would soon replace human interpreters he paused for a moment, realized what he had said and turned to the the interpreter.

“Sorry”, he said.

The interpreter didn’t skip a beat. “Don’t worry”, she replied “Someone from IBM told me the same thing 20 years ago and I’m still here.”

-Excerpt from Tools and Weapons, Brad Smith & Carol Ann Browne

We hear grand predictions made on the future of computing but the predictions around time frames are much more checkered. Generally, people seem more optimistic and expect the change to arrive sooner than is the case.

As Gates famously remarked, we always overestimate the change that will occur in the next two years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next ten.

What tech predictions are you waiting for to come true?

I’m looking forward to the one in the image. Someone, anyone: make it happen.

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